The odds
as of Nov 4, 16:17 UTC- 5 96% +66
- 4 3.5% −56
- Below 3 1% —
- 3 1% −1
- Above 5 1% −8
Traded today$12K
Traded in all$45K
Favourite, 7 days+69 pts
5, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 27% · Oct 29: 28% · Oct 30: 30% · Oct 31: 28% · Nov 1: 28% · Nov 2: 31% · Nov 3: 31% · Nov 4: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 5; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats win 5 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Candidates of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party count as Democrats.
Settlement sources: Minnesota Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗