The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Before Apr 1, 2027 49% −1.5
- Before Jan 1, 2027 45% −1
- Before Dec 1, 2026 6% −1
- Before Oct 1, 2026 1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$517
Traded in all$90K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
Before Apr 1, 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 49% · Nov 3: 48% · Nov 4: 48% · Nov 5: 48% · Nov 6: 51% · Nov 7: 50% · Nov 8: 51% · Nov 9: 71%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Apr 1, 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Section 702 authority has become law after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗