The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Before 2029 96% −0.5
- Before July 2028 96% +1
- Before 2028 94% —
- Before July 2027 93% +3
- Before 2027 76% −2
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$89K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Before 2029, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 98% · Sep 29: 98% · Sep 30: 98% · Oct 1: 98% · Oct 2: 96% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before 2029; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Federal Reserve
See it on Kalshi ↗