The odds
as of Nov 9, 13:18 UTC- Chance of yes 6.5% +5
Traded today$551
Traded in all$138K
Yes, 7 days+2.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 4% · Nov 3: 6.1% · Nov 4: 5.9% · Nov 5: 5.5% · Nov 6: 5.8% · Nov 7: 6.1% · Nov 8: 5.6% · Nov 9: 7.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf a bill has become law which has abolished or dissolved the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and its constituent reserve banks before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill need not take effect before January 20, 2029 to be included in the Payout Criterion.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress; The New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗