Moving
KalshiCloses December 31, 2027

Who will headline Coachella 2027?

Tame Impala leads at 87% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's up 13 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • Tame Impala 87% +13
  • Dua Lipa 85% —
  • Fred again.. 71% +51
  • BTS 64% +10
  • Drake 49% +11
  • SZA 17% +1
  • Olivia Dean 12% —
  • Madonna 11% −3

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$2K
Traded in all$397K
Favourite, 7 days+12 pts

Tame Impala, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 588%

Sep 28: 84% · Sep 29: 82% · Sep 30: 85% · Oct 1: 83% · Oct 2: 82% · Oct 3: 82% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 88%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Tame Impala; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tame Impala is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources: Coachella

See it on Kalshi ↗

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