Moving
Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 94% ▲+92Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent At least 42% 95% ▼−88Michigan Senate election: Mike Rogers vote percent At least 46% 12% ▼−86Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 95% ▲+83Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 87% ▲+81Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 8.2% ▼−79How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after th… 56 85% ▲+78How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after … Below 45 85% ▲+71Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… Abdul El-Sayed 81% ▲+70Georgia State House winner? Democratic party 97% ▲+66How many House seats will Democrats win in Minneso… 5 96% ▲+66Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote… At least 46% 9% ▼−65Will the filibuster be weakened? Before 2028 85% ▲+60Alekseeva vs Fenyves Greta Fenyves 93% ▲+57
KalshiCloses November 11, 2026

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 10 Elimination

Maura Higgins leads at 43% (about 4 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 16:17 UTC. It's down 7.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Maura Higgins 43% ▼ 7.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
  • Maura Higgins 43% −7.5
  • Tatyana Ali 28% —
  • Connor Wood 12% —
  • Amber Glenn 9.5% —
  • Jenna Dewan 5.5% —
  • None 3% —
  • Ezra Frech 2% —
  • Harry Shum Jr. 1% —

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$27K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−7.5 pts

Maura Higgins, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 442%

Nov 3: 48% · Nov 4: 42%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Maura Higgins; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Maura Higgins and their partner are officially eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35 before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases. If the season is canceled without declaring eliminations, the market resolves to No. Payout criteria Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal. Multiple simultaneous eliminations count. Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns. Doesn't count for payout Eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode don't count. Temporary suspensions, medical holds, or being runner-up in the finale don't count as elimination. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ABC

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