The odds
as of Oct 6, 12:36 UTC- Chance of yes 3.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$438K
Yes, 7 days+0.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 2.9% · Sep 30: 3.6% · Oct 1: 3.6% · Oct 2: 3.4% · Oct 3: 3.4% · Oct 4: 3.5% · Oct 5: 3.5% · Oct 6: 3.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the federal government has taken action to cap the annual interest rate that credit cards can charge after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The action does not need to be effective in the market's time frame. For example, the passing of a bill between Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that imposes a cap, even if the cap is not effective until after Jan 1, 2027, is encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Settlement sources: The New York Times
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