The odds
as of Nov 12, 04:19 UTC- Eric Jones 94% −3
- Mike Thompson 1% −1
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$303K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts
Eric Jones, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 5: 88% · Nov 6: 93% · Nov 7: 94% · Nov 8: 96% · Nov 9: 95% · Nov 10: 97% · Nov 11: 99% · Nov 12: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Eric Jones; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Eric Jones wins the 2026 CA-04 House election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: the California Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗