Moving
Mistral Large 4: Text Arena Debut? 1430+ 8.5% ▼−84Moyano vs Zornada Luciana Moyano 89% ▲+68Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas CYC Tie 74% ▲+50De Dios vs Gomez Felipe De Dios 76% ▲+48CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas Draw (CA Grau vs. CD Los Chankas) 69% ▲+45Baycurrent Classic: Top 20 Finishers Jordan L. Smith 75% ▲+43Bank of Mexico Decision in November? 25 bps decrease 43% ▲+41Rivadeneira Gallegos vs Salazar Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos 83% ▲+35Croatia vs Iceland Tie 5.5% ▼−35Fear & Greed Index on Oct 9, 2026? Fear 84% ▲+31Steam: Weekly Top Seller AION 2 44% ▲+31Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greec… December 31 39% ▲+30Turma do Pagode vs. largadosypelados largadosypelados 78% ▲+28Gremio Esports vs. Yawara Esports Yawara Esports 77% ▲+27
KalshiCloses October 4, 2027

Amazonas Governor winner?

Omar Aziz leads at 87% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 8, 22:24 UTC. It's up 5 points in the last 24 hours.

Omar Aziz 87% ▲ 5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 8, 22:24 UTC
  • Omar Aziz 87% +5
  • Professora Maria do Carmo 13% −8
  • Roberto Cidade 11% —
  • Gilberto Vasconcelos 1% —
  • Isael Munduruku 1% —
  • Cabo Daciolo 1% —
  • David Almeida 1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$42K
Favourite, 7 days+21 pts

Omar Aziz, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 887%

Oct 1: 66% · Oct 2: 71% · Oct 3: 70% · Oct 4: 78% · Oct 5: 76% · Oct 6: 85% · Oct 7: 85% · Oct 8: 87%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Omar Aziz; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Omar Aziz wins the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →