The odds
as of Oct 6, 19:22 UTC- Pete Buttigieg 88% +0.5
- Rahm Emanuel 85% —
- Gavin Newsom 82% —
- J.B. Pritzker 82% +1
- Andy Beshear 81% −7
- Ro Khanna 80% +3
- Josh Shapiro 79% —
- Cory Booker 76% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$957K
Favourite, 7 days−3.5 pts
Pete Buttigieg, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 91% · Sep 29: 91% · Oct 1: 91% · Oct 2: 90% · Oct 3: 90% · Oct 4: 86% · Oct 5: 87% · Oct 6: 88%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Pete Buttigieg; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗