The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Chance of yes 12% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$222K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 14% · Sep 29: 12% · Sep 30: 12% · Oct 1: 12% · Oct 2: 12% · Oct 3: 12% · Oct 4: 12% · Oct 5: 12%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗