The odds
as of Oct 19, 08:37 UTC- Chance of yes 30% +14
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days+4.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 12: 26% · Oct 13: 20% · Oct 14: 23% · Oct 15: 20% · Oct 16: 20% · Oct 17: 17% · Oct 18: 14% · Oct 19: 31%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present.
Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify.
A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗