The odds
as of Oct 21, 16:25 UTC- $458K - $471K 27% +1
- $445K - $458K 26% −0.5
- <$445K 21% −0.7
- $471K - $484K 5.7% —
- $510K+ 4.3% +1
- $484K - $497K 3.1% −2
- $497K - $510K <1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+18 pts
$458K - $471K, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 12% · Oct 15: 12% · Oct 16: 27% · Oct 17: 26% · Oct 18: 25% · Oct 19: 26% · Oct 20: 26% · Oct 21: 27%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on December 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/58)
See it on Polymarket ↗