The odds
as of Oct 20, 19:21 UTC- Above 2.50 >99% —
- Above 2.60 >99% —
- Above 2.70 >99% —
- Above 2.80 >99% —
- Above 2.90 >99% —
- Above 3.00 >99% —
- Above 3.10 >99% —
- Above 3.20 >99% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$108K
Traded in all$587K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 2.50, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 13: >99% · Oct 14: >99% · Oct 15: >99% · Oct 16: >99% · Oct 17: >99% · Oct 18: >99% · Oct 19: >99% · Oct 20: >99%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 2.50; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗