The odds
as of Nov 6, 19:14 UTC- Chance of yes 1.8% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$70K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 30: 1.7% · Oct 31: 1.7% · Nov 1: 1.7% · Nov 2: 4.3% · Nov 3: 3.1% · Nov 4: 2.6% · Nov 5: 2% · Nov 6: 1.8%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
See it on Polymarket ↗