The odds
as of Oct 6, 10:26 UTC- Raphael Glucksmann 86% −3
- Olivier Faure 12% +4.5
- Segolene Royal 3% —
- Jérôme Guedj <1% —
- Francois Hollande <1% —
- Boris Vallaud <1% −0.7
- Philippe Brun <1% —
- Carole Delga <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$66K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
Raphael Glucksmann, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 29: 79% · Sep 30: 81% · Oct 1: 84% · Oct 2: 84% · Oct 3: 88% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 86% · Oct 6: 86%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
See it on Polymarket ↗