The odds
as of Oct 12, 19:22 UTC- Allyson 79% −4.5
- Cadu de Lula 22% +7
- Álvaro Dias <1% —
- Arinalda do MLB <1% —
- Carlos Jararaca <1% —
- Dário Barbosa <1% —
- Henrique Lyra <1% —
- Professor Roberio Paulino <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$63K
Favourite, 7 days−7.5 pts
Allyson, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 5: 87% · Oct 6: 88% · Oct 7: 87% · Oct 8: 86% · Oct 9: 82% · Oct 10: 83% · Oct 11: 84% · Oct 12: 80%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
See it on Polymarket ↗