The odds
as of Oct 5, 17:23 UTC- Tampa Bay Rays 36% +4.4
- Chicago White Sox 24% +1
- New York Yankees 24% +3
- Cleveland Guardians 14% —
Traded today$25K
Traded in all$4.6M
Favourite, 7 days+9 pts
Tampa Bay Rays, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 28% · Sep 29: 27% · Sep 30: 27% · Oct 1: 26% · Oct 2: 30% · Oct 3: 38% · Oct 4: 34% · Oct 5: 36%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 17:23 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗