The odds
as of Oct 16, 14:25 UTC- Rank 3 to 4 43% +15
- Rank 5 to 6 21% —
- Rank 1 to 2 20% −45
- Rank 7 to 10 14% —
- Rank 51 to 74 2.5% —
- Rank 11 to 15 1% —
- Rank 16 to 20 1% —
- Rank 21 to 30 1% —
Traded today$29K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days−6.5 pts
Rank 3 to 4, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 13: 36% · Oct 14: 28% · Oct 15: 25% · Oct 16: 43%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Rank 3 to 4; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If "expectations" by Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan ranks between No. 3 and No. 4, inclusive on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Billboard
See it on Kalshi ↗