The odds
as of Oct 25, 22:19 UTC- The Invite 94% —
- The Black Ball 89% +0.5
- The Odyssey 88% −2
- Project Hail Mary 66% +3
- All of a Sudden 51% −7
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 42% +11
- Dune: Part Three 28% −0.5
- Ink 20% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+15 pts
The Invite, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 18: 80% · Oct 19: 81% · Oct 20: 80% · Oct 21: 94% · Oct 22: 94% · Oct 23: 96% · Oct 24: 94% · Oct 25: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗