The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Kyle Larson 49% +11
- Denny Hamlin 24% −14
- Christopher Bell 9.5% −1
- Ryan Blaney 8% +3
- Joey Logano 6.5% +3
- Chase Briscoe 5.5% +4
- William Byron 2% +1
- Chase Elliott 2% +1
Traded today$49K
Traded in all$5.2M
Favourite, 7 days+4.5 pts
Kyle Larson, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 44% · Sep 29: 42% · Sep 30: 41% · Oct 1: 39% · Oct 2: 40% · Oct 3: 40% · Oct 4: 36% · Oct 5: 49%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Kyle Larson; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Kyle Larson wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: ESPN; Fox Sports; the Governing League
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See it on Kalshi ↗