The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Harry Kane 47% +2
- Lamine Yamal 44% −3
- Lionel Messi 2.8% —
- Kylian Mbappé 2.6% —
- Rodri 2.1% +1
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia <1% —
- Ousmane Dembélé <1% —
- Michael Olise <1% —
Traded today$355K
Traded in all$44.1M
Favourite, 7 days−6 pts
Harry Kane, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 42% · Sep 29: 43% · Sep 30: 42% · Oct 1: 35% · Oct 2: 44% · Oct 3: 45% · Oct 4: 47% · Oct 5: 47%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
See it on Polymarket ↗