Moving
Pro Football Next Coach Out Dan Quinn 63% ▲+46Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? October 13 74% ▲+42Simeonova vs Papadopoulou Elena Papadopoulou 90% ▲+41Catherine McNally vs Yuliia Starodubtseva: Set 1 W… Yuliia Starodubtseva 83% ▲+41Kisimov vs Massucco Dimitar Kisimov 87% ▲+37First Solar module volume sold in Q3 Above 3800 mw 60% ▼−35Qatar vs Mongolia Qatar 51% ▼−35Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greec… October 31 67% ▲+35Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Jacob Frey 34% ▲+33Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? Before Jan 1, 2028 62% ▲+33Team Vitality vs. KT Rolster KT Rolster 57% ▼−32EPL Golden Boot Joao Pedro 37% ▲+32Iancu vs Glushkova Alexia-Shara Iancu 79% ▲+30NLCS MVP Winner Brice Turang 12% ▲+28
PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 30 leads at 47% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 12, 08:47 UTC. It's up 17 points in the last 24 hours.

November 30 47% ▲ 17 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 12, 08:47 UTC
  • November 30 47% +17
  • October 31 45% +26

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$1K
Traded in all$43K
Favourite, 7 days+28 pts

November 30, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 4Oct 1247%

Oct 5: 15% · Oct 6: 20% · Oct 7: 22% · Oct 8: 25% · Oct 9: 19% · Oct 10: 30% · Oct 11: 35% · Oct 12: 47%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

Tech & science

More markets like this

All →