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PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?

No release by November 30 leads at 21% (about 2 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC. It's up 4 points in the last 24 hours.

No release by November 30 21% ▲ 4 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC
  • No release by November 30 21% +4
  • October 29 19% −9
  • October 31 17% +16
  • October 26 12% +3
  • November 1 11% −2
  • October 27 10% −3.4
  • November 23 9.9% +0.7
  • November 5 8% −23
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days−6.5 pts

No release by November 30, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 22Oct 2620%

Oct 22: 14% · Oct 23: 23% · Oct 24: 21% · Oct 25: 18% · Oct 26: 20%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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