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Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati Cincinnati 95% ▲+74World's best restaurant in 2026? Asador Etxebarri 6% ▼−73Verizon postpaid phone net additions in Q3 Above 75 thousand 93% ▲+70Game 4: Golden State vs Atlanta Atlanta 5.5% ▼−61Will Claude go down on __ days in October? <5 30% ▼−53Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream Golden State Valkyries 88% ▲+51CF Montreal vs Nashville SC: Correct Score Nashville SC wins 2-0 57% ▲+48Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in October Above 103 62% ▲+47Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Corey Lewandowski 59% ▼−40NATO x Russia military clash by...? December 31 19% ▼−38North Dakota vs South Dakota North Dakota 8.5% ▼−36Cornell vs Brown Cornell 86% ▲+35Jackson St. vs Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 61% ▲+35Genesis Championship Winner Yuto Katsuragawa 35% ▲+34
KalshiCloses December 31, 2028

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

Ilija Srdanović leads at 89% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 24, 19:17 UTC. It's up 70 points in the last 24 hours.

Ilija Srdanović 89% ▲ 70 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 24, 19:17 UTC
  • Ilija Srdanović 89% +70
  • Aleksandar Vučić 71% +5
  • Ana Brnabić 1% —
  • Miloš Vučević 1% —
  • Stefan Krkobabić 1% —
  • Ivica Dačić 1% —
  • Dragan Đilas 1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+70 pts

Ilija Srdanović, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 16Oct 2424%

Oct 17: 20% · Oct 18: 20% · Oct 19: 20% · Oct 20: 20% · Oct 21: 27% · Oct 22: 17% · Oct 23: 19% · Oct 24: 24%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ilija Srdanović; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Ilija Srdanović becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Dec 31, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Settlement sources: National Assembly

See it on Kalshi ↗

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