The odds
as of Oct 6, 10:26 UTC- Chris Thomas 39% +3.5
- Alfred Cannan 27% +4
- Jane Poole-Wilson 27% +4
- Rob Callister 3.9% −8
- Alex Allinson 2.5% —
- Lawrie Hooper 2% −0.5
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$51K
Favourite, 7 days+2.5 pts
Chris Thomas, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 29: 33% · Sep 30: 26% · Oct 1: 42% · Oct 2: 32% · Oct 3: 33% · Oct 4: 38% · Oct 5: 30% · Oct 6: 39%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordParliamentary elections to elect the House of Keys of the Isle of Man are scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chief Minister of the Isle of Man following the 2026 Isle of Man parliamentary elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Chief Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Isle of Man; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗