The odds
as of Oct 5, 19:24 UTC- Chance of yes 7% +3.5
Traded today$559
Traded in all$107K
Yes, 7 days+3.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 3.6% · Sep 29: 3.6% · Sep 30: 3.6% · Oct 1: 3.6% · Oct 2: 3.6% · Oct 3: 3.6% · Oct 4: 3.6% · Oct 5: 7.1%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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