Moving
US imposes new sanctions on China by...? October 31, 2026 94% ▲+92Philadelphia vs Washington: Rushing Attempts Jayden Daniels: 4+ 23% ▼−64Jacksonville vs Baltimore Baltimore 21% ▼−39Ito vs Soeda Koharu Ito 89% ▲+38Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority? Yes 8.5% ▼−33Jonathan Taylor Next Team Denver 40% ▲+33MLB: 2026 NL Gold Glove Winners Mauricio Dubón 91% ▲+30Israel military action against Syria by...? December 31 29% ▼−29Abdul El-Sayed runs behind Jocelyn Benson by...? 0-3 points behind 28% ▼−28Tamura vs Kozaki Funa Kozaki 79% ▲+28Timber harvested from Oregon BOF lands in FY2027 Above 200 million board feet 29% ▼−24GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...? November 30 89% ▲+24Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo: Correct Score Portland Timbers wins 1-0 31% ▲+23Portland vs Houston Portland 77% ▲+22
PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

Andy Barr (R) leads at 96% (about 10 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 2, 04:19 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Andy Barr (R) 96% ▼ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 2, 04:19 UTC
  • Andy Barr (R) 96% −2
  • Charles Booker (D) 4% +1.6
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$54K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts

Andy Barr (R), the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 25Nov 296%

Oct 26: 98% · Oct 27: 97% · Oct 28: 97% · Oct 29: 98% · Oct 30: 98% · Oct 31: 98% · Nov 1: 98% · Nov 2: 96%

The same question on Kalshi

Polymarket96%Andy Barr (R)
level
Kalshi96%Andy Barr →

Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Nov 2, 04:19 UTC.

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
See it on Polymarket ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →