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KalshiCloses April 1, 2027

Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?

The market puts it at 20% — about 2 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Nov 1, 08:19 UTC. It's down 21 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 20% ▼ 21 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 1, 08:19 UTC
  • Chance of yes 20% −21
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$33K
Yes, 7 days−14 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 24Nov 115%

Oct 25: 35% · Oct 26: 35% · Oct 27: 45% · Oct 28: 45% · Oct 29: 45% · Oct 30: 45% · Oct 31: 45% · Nov 1: 15%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If legislation granting a Wyoming state entity (whether newly created or the Wyoming stable token commission with expanded powers) statutory authority to administer government-issued digital assets beyond the Wyoming stable token is enacted in Wyoming before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness The following do NOT constitute enactment: Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges. Note: This event was issued before the September 14, 2026 amendment to the LAW Contract, so that amendment does not apply. To be clear, a law must take legal effect before this event’s deadline; a law enacted before the deadline whose effective date falls on or after it does not satisfy the Payout Criterion.

Settlement sources: State of Wyoming

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