The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Chance of yes 2.3% +1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$2.0M
Yes, 7 days+0.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 1.5% · Sep 29: 1.2% · Sep 30: 1.3% · Oct 1: 1.3% · Oct 2: 1.1% · Oct 3: 1.3% · Oct 4: 1.1% · Oct 5: 2.4%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗