The odds
as of Oct 21, 14:25 UTC- 90+ 95% −0.6
- 92+ 96% —
- 94+ 92% −1.6
- 96+ 74% −3
- 97+ 40% −3.5
- 98+ 22% −1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
92+, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 96% · Oct 15: 96% · Oct 16: 96% · Oct 17: 96% · Oct 18: 96% · Oct 19: 96% · Oct 20: 96% · Oct 21: 96%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "GTA VI" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/grand-theft-auto-vi/) as of seven days after release, at 10:00 AM ET, is at least the specified value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For games released on multiple platforms, Metacritic displays a default Metascore, that being the Metascore for the game on the platform for which it has the most critical reviews. For the purposes of this market, the Metascore refers to that of the default platform as of seven days after release at 10:00 AM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. PS5 or Xbox Series X/S), it will count.
If GTA VI is not released by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
See it on Polymarket ↗