The odds
as of Oct 7, 01:04 UTC- Above 45 95% —
- Above 50 93% —
- Above 55 88% —
- Above 60 83% —
- Above 65 71% −1
- Above 70 66% +1
- Above 75 56% —
- Above 80 43% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$105K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 45, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 30: 95% · Oct 1: 95% · Oct 2: 95% · Oct 3: 95% · Oct 4: 95% · Oct 5: 95% · Oct 6: 95% · Oct 7: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 45; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Clayface has a Tomatometer score of above 45 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes. Any references to Rotten Tomatoes or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Rotten Tomatoes and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Rotten Tomatoes
See it on Kalshi ↗