The odds
as of Oct 20, 02:31 UTC- $900B-$1.00T 42% −5
- $800-$900B 40% +20
- $1.00-$1.10T 12% −8.3
- $700-$800B 5.5% +2.6
- $1.10-$1.20T 3.4% +3
- <$700B <1% —
- $1.20T+ <1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
$900B-$1.00T, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 13: 38% · Oct 14: 45% · Oct 15: 44% · Oct 16: 45% · Oct 17: 53% · Oct 18: 47% · Oct 19: 35% · Oct 20: 42%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on October 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Settlement sources: https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/
See it on Polymarket ↗