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PolymarketCloses October 12, 2026

France United Left Primary Winner

Canceled leads at 93% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 6, 14:27 UTC.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 14:27 UTC
  • Canceled 93% —
  • Clémentine Autain <1% —
  • François Ruffin <1% —
  • Marine Tondelier <1% —
  • Lydie Massard <1% —
  • Benjamin Lucas-Lundy <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$233K
Favourite, 7 daysunch

Canceled, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 693%

Sep 29: 93% · Sep 30: 92% · Oct 1: 93% · Oct 2: 92% · Oct 3: 93% · Oct 4: 93% · Oct 5: 92% · Oct 6: 93%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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