The odds
as of Oct 22, 22:21 UTC- Chance of yes 2.4% −1
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$253K
Yes, 7 days−1.7 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 4.1% · Oct 16: 4% · Oct 17: 3.7% · Oct 18: 3.7% · Oct 19: 3.3% · Oct 20: 3.3% · Oct 21: 3.3% · Oct 22: 2.4%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
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