The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:04 UTC- Xavier Becerra 96% —
- Steve Hilton 4% —
- Tom Steyer <1% —
- Rick Caruso <1% —
- Alex Padilla <1% —
- Katie Porter <1% —
- Antonio Villaraigosa <1% —
- Stephen Cloobeck <1% —
Traded today$33K
Traded in all$41.7M
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Xavier Becerra, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 95% · Sep 29: 96% · Sep 30: 96% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 96% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 95% · Oct 5: 96%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 5, 07:04 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
See it on Polymarket ↗