Moving
Odell Beckham Jr. Next Team Minnesota 95% ▲+88The Social Reckoning · Rotten Tomatoes score Above 55 88% ▲+52Penzlin vs Lapalu Julien Penzlin 88% ▲+50OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11 Above 166 T tokens 38% ▼−46Naito vs Nguyen Alexis Nguyen 87% ▲+45Korn Ferry Tour Championship presented by Virginia… Ross Steelman 5.5% ▼−42Rinaldo Persson vs Burgic Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 92% ▲+40Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner… Miley Cyrus 31% ▼−34South Africa Annual Inflation 2026 >5.0% 61% ▲+32England Champions vs West Indies Champions England Champions 31% ▼−32CPI core in October Above 0.1% 61% ▼−23Pro Baseball NLCS Qualifiers Los Angeles D 84% ▲+22Kamper vs Lutkemeyer Emma Kamper 71% ▲+22Kataja Basket Joensuu vs Lahti Basketball Lahti Basketball 88% ▲+21
PolymarketCloses October 26, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula leads at 65% (about 7 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 7, 17:27 UTC. It's up 9 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 7, 17:27 UTC
  • Lula 65% +9
  • Flavio Bolsonaro 35% −9.5
Traded today$17K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+31 pts

Lula, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 5Oct 765%

Oct 5: 48% · Oct 6: 55% · Oct 7: 65%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad, meaning votes cast outside Brazil and reported by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under “Exterior”. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won abroad. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
See it on Polymarket ↗

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