Moving
PolymarketCloses January 13, 2027

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49% leads at 44% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC. It's down 5.3 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC
  • 5.00-5.49% 44% −5.3
  • 4.50-4.99% 23% +13
  • 5.50-5.99% 22% −7.4
  • 6.00-6.49% 6.8% −4
  • 4.00-4.49% 2.5% —
  • 3.50-3.99% <1% —
  • 6.50-6.99% <1% —
  • <3.00% <1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$150K
Favourite, 7 days−4.7 pts

5.00-5.49%, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 544%

Sep 28: 49% · Sep 29: 44% · Sep 30: 45% · Oct 1: 45% · Oct 2: 49% · Oct 3: 49% · Oct 4: 49% · Oct 5: 44%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report. The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
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