The odds
as of Oct 26, 22:24 UTC- Rodri 75% +3
- Messi 26% −3
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$44K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Rodri, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 73% · Oct 20: 77% · Oct 21: 77% · Oct 22: 75% · Oct 23: 74% · Oct 24: 77% · Oct 25: 71% · Oct 26: 75%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Rodri" if Rodri finishes higher than Lionel Messi in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. This market will resolve to "Messi" if Lionel Messi finishes higher than Rodri.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.
If both players are given the same placement in the official ranking, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the official placements of both players have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or ranking; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗