The odds
as of Oct 20, 02:31 UTC- Lamine Yamal 65% —
- Kylian Mbappé 25% —
- Lionel Messi 5.7% —
- Rodri 4.4% —
- Harry Kane 2.1% —
- Erling Haaland 1.1% —
- Fabian Ruiz 1.1% —
- Jude Bellingham <1% —
Traded today$37K
Traded in all$37K
Favourite, 7 days+17 pts
Lamine Yamal, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 65% · Oct 20: 65%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.
If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.
If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗