The odds
as of Oct 14, 20:23 UTC- Before Apr 1, 2027 60% +18
- Before Mar 1, 2027 34% —
- Before Jan 1, 2027 21% —
- Before Nov 1, 2026 5% −8
- Before Oct 1, 2026 1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$58K
Favourite, 7 days+10 pts
Before Apr 1, 2027, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 12: 52% · Oct 14: 60%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Apr 1, 2027; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the White House officially announces that it will end its access bans on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from the White House qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The qualifying publication must announce a definite White House decision that the access bans on CNN, MS NOW, and Politico will end, be lifted, terminated, or rescinded, including a definite future restoration. A statement covering only one or two outlets, merely acknowledging a court order, or saying the White House will comply temporarily while continuing to challenge the order does not qualify. The separate Associated Press access dispute is outside this market.
Settlement sources: The White House
See it on Kalshi ↗