The odds
as of Nov 6, 11:16 UTC- Chance of yes 2% −3.5
Traded today$885
Traded in all$61K
Yes, 7 days−4 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 6% · Nov 4: 5% · Nov 5: 5% · Nov 6: 2%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Ed Sheeran performs at Gillette Stadium in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this contract, "performed" means the person appears live on stage or in the official broadcast/stream and performs (including singing, dancing, DJ-ing, or playing an instrument), either as a scheduled performer or as a guest appearance during another artist's performance. Guest appearances where the person performs live music qualify. Festival appearances that include a live set qualify. The following do not qualify: appearing only as an award presenter or host, being in the audience without performing, having music played without participation, appearing in video montages or tribute segments without performing, pre-show or post-show performances outside the official event timeframe, appearances without performing (speeches, award acceptances, interviews, promotional events), canceled or postponed shows where no performance occurs in the time period, rehearsals and sound checks, or virtual participation via livestream into the venue.
Settlement sources: in hierarchical order; The Source Agencies are; The Hollywood Reporter; ABC; Rolling Stone; official social media accounts of confirmed performers at in the same <time> as ; Fox; Variety; Billboard; Deadline; social media accounts of event organizers at ; NBC; Associated Press; the official broadcaster of the event at ; CNN; social media accounts; official website; Entertainment Weekly; Reuters; CBS; the official website
See it on Kalshi ↗