The odds
as of Oct 20, 19:21 UTC- More than 2 weeks 7% +13
- More than 3 weeks 2% —
- More than 4 weeks 1% —
- More than 5 weeks 1% —
- More than 6 weeks 1% —
- More than 7 weeks 1% —
- More than 8 weeks 1% —
- More than 9 weeks 1% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$46K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts
More than 2 weeks, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 13: 3% · Oct 14: 3% · Oct 15: 3% · Oct 16: 3% · Oct 17: 3% · Oct 18: 3% · Oct 19: 2.5% · Oct 20: 7%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, More than 2 weeks; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love by Olivia Rodrigo has had the #1 spot on the Billboard 200 for more than 2 consecutive weeks, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi. If this event occurs, or the streak ends, the market will close the following 10am ET.
Settlement sources: Billboard
See it on Kalshi ↗