The odds
as of Oct 6, 12:36 UTC- December 31 38% +4
- October 31 16% +3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$6.5M
Favourite, 7 days−11 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 29: 51% · Sep 30: 48% · Oct 1: 45% · Oct 2: 45% · Oct 3: 41% · Oct 4: 39% · Oct 5: 36% · Oct 6: 38%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordIf María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗