The odds
as of Oct 6, 17:22 UTC- Chance of yes 3.1% —
Traded today$27K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days−9.3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 5: 5.5% · Oct 6: 3.2%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗