The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Above 0 83% +19
- Above 1000 38% +20
- Above 5000 14% +4
- Above 10000 9.5% —
- Above 15000 3.5% —
- Above 20000 2.5% —
- Above 25000 2.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$165K
Favourite, 7 days−12 pts
Above 0, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 95% · Sep 29: 91% · Sep 30: 92% · Oct 1: 91% · Oct 2: 93% · Oct 3: 64% · Oct 4: 65% · Oct 5: 65%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 0; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tesla Inc reports above 0 Semi Trucks Produced in Any Quarter before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Tesla; Tesla Investor Relations; Seeking Alpha; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; The Wall Street Journal; Financial Times; CNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗