The odds
as of Nov 6, 01:19 UTC- Chance of yes 2.5% −2
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$37K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 30: 4% · Oct 31: 4% · Nov 1: 4% · Nov 2: 4% · Nov 3: 4% · Nov 4: 4% · Nov 5: 4% · Nov 6: 2.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Tesla releases a two door Model Y to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Tesla
See it on Kalshi ↗