The odds
as of Oct 9, 21:23 UTC- Chance of yes 6.5% −1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$45K
Yes, 7 days−2.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 9% · Oct 4: 12% · Oct 5: 10% · Oct 6: 9.8% · Oct 7: 9.8% · Oct 8: 9.8% · Oct 9: 9.9%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf a bill that restricts SNAP benefits become law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve to Yes if a bill that explicitly restricts the types of food that can be purchased using Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits is signed into law by the President on or before January 3, 2027 (the end of the 119th Congress). The bill must clearly impose new federal restrictions on eligible SNAP purchases. Administrative rule changes, state-level restrictions, or temporary pilot programs do not count.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
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