The odds
as of Nov 8, 11:14 UTC- Chance of yes 96% +6
Traded today$28K
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days+6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 1: 90% · Nov 2: 90% · Nov 3: 90% · Nov 4: 90% · Nov 5: 90% · Nov 6: 90% · Nov 7: 90% · Nov 8: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf BLS reports South Carolina Transportation Equipment Manufacturing employment for December 2026 is above 53,600 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU45000003133600001, All Employees in Transportation Equipment Manufacturing in South Carolina, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted. The first non-preliminary December 2026 value will be used; subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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