The odds
as of Oct 18, 05:22 UTC- Chance of yes 50% +2
Traded today$646
Traded in all$57K
Yes, 7 days+3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 11: 47% · Oct 12: 47% · Oct 13: 43% · Oct 14: 46% · Oct 15: 46% · Oct 16: 45% · Oct 17: 48% · Oct 18: 50%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human does before 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗